⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
12 Sep 2026 23:05
MEXICO › LIGA MX • APERTURA - 8
Toluca
W D W L W
FT
5 - 2
Atlas
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: Mario Terrazas Chavez, Mexico

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas
Toluca Timeline Atlas
1st Half 3 - 0
17'
VAR
Helinho penalty confirmed
19'
⚽
A. Vega penalty
1 - 0
22'
⚽
J. Angulo Assist: N. Castro
2 - 0
24'
Manuel Capasso yellow card
29'
⚽
F. Vinas Assist: Bruno Mendez
3 - 0
2nd Half 2 - 2
46'
↔
F. Vinas ↔ Paulinho Substitution
46'
P. Ramirez ↔ S. Hernandez Substitution
↔
46'
A. Gonzalez ↔ Duk Substitution
↔
51'
3 - 1
F. Monzon Assist: L. Esteves
⚽
53'
⚽
Paulinho Assist: J. Angulo
4 - 1
57'
Helinho yellow card
57'
Milton Valenzuela yellow card
58'
↔
Helinho ↔ E. del Villar Substitution
60'
⚽
J. Rodriguez own goal
5 - 1
62'
J. Sanchez ↔ E. Montiel Substitution
↔
72'
↔
J. Angulo ↔ V. Guzman Substitution
72'
↔
N. Castro ↔ P. Perez Substitution
80'
L. Esteves ↔ J. Serrato Substitution
↔
81'
Jesús Serrato yellow card
81'
5 - 2
Duk normal goal
⚽
85'
↔
A. Vega ↔ Luan Substitution
89'
M. Capasso ↔ A. Mora Substitution
↔

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 70.3% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 70.3%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 44.2%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS Yes
Confidence 67.1%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 45.6% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

28 matches analysed
Toluca
Toluca Home
VS
Atlas Away
Atlas
🎟️ 15 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 2.27 Avg Goals
🎟️ 13 Matches Played
🏆 4 Wins
🎯 1.08 Avg Goals
15
Matches Played
13
8
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
34
Goals For
14
16
Goals Against
17
2.27
Avg Goals Scored
1.08
1.07
Avg Goals Conceded
1.31
8
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
5
6
Clean Sheets
4
2
Failed To Score
5

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
8
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
5
6.54
Shots on Goal
3.86

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Toluca
Defensive Edge Toluca
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 53%
Away Win Rate 31%

Toluca show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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