⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
03 May 2026 19:00
BRAZIL › SERIE A • REGULAR SEASON - 14
Sao Paulo
W D W L W
FT
2 - 2
Bahia
L D L W W
🏟️ Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
Bragança Paulista
Referee: D. Lacerda

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia
Sao Paulo Timeline Bahia
1st Half 1 - 0
-5'
André Silva yellow card
17'
⚽
Artur Assist: Wendell
1 - 0
41'
Nicolás Acevedo yellow card
45'
Damián Bobadilla yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 2
50'
↔
Lucas Ramon ↔ C. Soares Substitution
56'
C. Olivera ↔ M. Sanabria Substitution
↔
62'
1 - 1
Luciano Juba Assist: Everton Ribeiro
⚽
63'
↔
Cauly ↔ Lucas Moura Substitution
71'
↔
Wendell ↔ E. Diaz Substitution
71'
↔
Luciano ↔ Ferreira Substitution
71'
↔
Danielzinho ↔ Luan Silva Substitution
73'
⚽
Ferreira Assist: Jonathan Calleri
2 - 1
81'
Enzo Díaz yellow card
82'
Erick Pulga ↔ Ademir Substitution
↔
82'
Jean Lucas ↔ Michel Araujo Substitution
↔
82'
Willian Jose ↔ Everaldo Substitution
↔
82'
Everton Ribeiro ↔ Rodrigo Substitution
↔
90'
2 - 2
Erick normal goal
⚽
90+4'
Mateo Sanabria yellow card
90+6'
Jonathan Calleri yellow card
90+7'
Erick yellow card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
BTTS

BTTS Yes

Confidence 82.6% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 82.6%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 68.4%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 75.9%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "BTTS Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 53.2% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

30 matches analysed
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo Home
VS
Bahia Away
Bahia
🎟️ 16 Matches Played
🏆 9 Wins
🎯 1.25 Avg Goals
🎟️ 14 Matches Played
🏆 7 Wins
🎯 1.36 Avg Goals
16
Matches Played
14
9
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
4
20
Goals For
19
11
Goals Against
16
1.25
Avg Goals Scored
1.36
0.69
Avg Goals Conceded
1.14
6
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
7
Clean Sheets
4
4
Failed To Score
2

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
6
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.86

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Bahia
Defensive Edge Sao Paulo
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 56%
Away Win Rate 50%

Sao Paulo show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo

Match Statistics

Bahia Bahia
8
🎯 Shots on Goal
7
3
✕ Shots off Goal
7
7
🛡️ Blocked Shots
6
13
🚩 Corner Kicks
10
12
🦶 Fouls
11
38%
◐ Ball Possession
62%
18
⚽ Total Shots
20
316
↔ Total passes
508
253
✓ Passes accurate
448
4
🟨 Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Sao Paulo
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
26.05.26
CON
Sao Paulo
Boston River
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
20.05.26
CON
Sao Paulo
Millonarios
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
07.05.26
CON
Sao Paulo
O'Higgins
0
0
D
29.04.26
CON
Sao Paulo
Millonarios
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
14.04.26
CON
Sao Paulo
O'Higgins
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Sao Paulo
Boston River
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
Last matches: Bahia
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Bahia
03.05.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
06.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
3
W
30.06.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
3
1
W
29.11.23
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
1
W
30.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
07.11.21
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
10.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
0
W
28.11.20
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
3
W
20.08.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
1
D
10.10.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
30.05.19
H2H
Bahia
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
23.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
1
L
19.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
26.05.26
CON
Sao Paulo
Boston River
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
20.05.26
CON
Sao Paulo
Millonarios
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.04.26
CON
Sao Paulo
O'Higgins
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
03.05.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
0
W
30.06.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
3
1
W
30.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
10.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
0
W
20.08.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
1
D
23.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
1
L
19.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
Last matches: Bahia
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
03.05.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
0
L
30.06.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
3
1
L
30.07.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
10.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
0
L
20.08.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
1
1
D
23.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
1
W
19.05.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Bahia
0
0
D
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Bahia 4-2-3-1
Bahia
23
Rafael
19
Lucas Ramon
↓
28
A. Franco
35
Sabino
18
Wendell
🎯↓
16
D. Bobadilla
🟨
94
Danielzinho
↓
37
Artur
⚽
10
Luciano
↓
80
Cauly
↓
9
Jonathan Calleri
🎯🟨
22
Leo Vieira
5
Nicolas Acevedo
🟨
33
David Duarte
21
S. Ramos
46
Luciano Juba
⚽
14
Erick
⚽🟨
6
Jean Lucas
↓
99
C. Olivera
↓
10
Everton Ribeiro
🎯↓
16
Erick Pulga
↓
12
Willian Jose
↓
Sao Paulo Bahia ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Serie A Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Palmeiras
21 22 47
W L W W W
2
Flamengo
20 19 39
D D W W L
3
Atletico Paranaense
21 9 37
D W W W W
4
Fluminense
21 5 34
D D D D L
5
Bahia
21 4 32
D D D W W
6
RB Bragantino
20 6 31
D D W W W
7
Cruzeiro
21 -3 30
W L W D W
8
Botafogo
20 2 29
W D W L D
9
Corinthians
21 2 29
D D W W W
10
Atletico-MG
20 0 28
W D W L W
11
Coritiba
21 -3 27
L D L L W
12
Sao Paulo
20 2 26
D L L D L
13
Vitoria
21 -9 26
L L D W L
14
Mirassol
20 -4 23
W D W L W
15
Santos
20 -4 22
D L W L L
16
Internacional
21 -4 22
D L L L L
17
Gremio
20 -4 22
D L L W D
18
Vasco DA Gama
20 -8 21
D L L L L
19
Remo
21 -10 21
L W L W L
20
Chapecoense-sc
20 -22 10
D L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia
Sao Paulo Timeline Bahia
1st Half 1 - 0
-5'
André Silva yellow card
17'
⚽
Artur Assist: Wendell
1 - 0
41'
Nicolás Acevedo yellow card
45'
Damián Bobadilla yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 2
50'
↔
Lucas Ramon ↔ C. Soares Substitution
56'
C. Olivera ↔ M. Sanabria Substitution
↔
62'
1 - 1
Luciano Juba Assist: Everton Ribeiro
⚽
63'
↔
Cauly ↔ Lucas Moura Substitution
71'
↔
Wendell ↔ E. Diaz Substitution
71'
↔
Luciano ↔ Ferreira Substitution
71'
↔
Danielzinho ↔ Luan Silva Substitution
73'
⚽
Ferreira Assist: Jonathan Calleri
2 - 1
81'
Enzo Díaz yellow card
82'
Erick Pulga ↔ Ademir Substitution
↔
82'
Jean Lucas ↔ Michel Araujo Substitution
↔
82'
Willian Jose ↔ Everaldo Substitution
↔
82'
Everton Ribeiro ↔ Rodrigo Substitution
↔
90'
2 - 2
Erick normal goal
⚽
90+4'
Mateo Sanabria yellow card
90+6'
Jonathan Calleri yellow card
90+7'
Erick yellow card

Missing Players

Sao Paulo 6 missing
-
Marcos Antonio
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Pablo Maia
Missing Fixture Broken nose
OUT
-
Ryan Francisco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Diaz
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Lucas Moura
Questionable Broken rib
OUT
-
R. Toloi
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Bahia 2 missing
-
Ronaldo Strada
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
Ruan Pablo
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT