⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
11 Jul 2026 19:10
ECUADOR › LIGA PRO • REGULAR SEASON - 18
Mushuc Runa SC
W D W L W
FT
1 - 4
Independiente del Valle
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa
Ambato
Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 4 Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC Timeline Independiente del Valle
1st Half 0 - 2
19'
0 - 1
D. Reasco Assist: E. Pata
⚽
35'
0 - 2
J. Sornoza Assist: L. Loor
⚽
44'
José Flor yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 2
49'
0 - 3
D. Reasco Assist: L. Loor
⚽
56'
Jhon Espinoza yellow card
58'
↔
J. Gonzalez ↔ A. Zambrano Substitution
58'
↔
C. Angulo ↔ E. Caicedo Substitution
64'
R. Briones ↔ H. Quintana Substitution
↔
64'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. Perello Substitution
↔
64'
J. Sornoza ↔ D. Guagua Substitution
↔
66'
⚽
E. Davila normal goal
1 - 3
68'
VAR
Nicolás Dávila goal confirmed
74'
Jhegson Méndez yellow card
75'
↔
J. Hernandez ↔ J. Cusme Substitution
76'
↔
R. Carrillo ↔ D. Merino Substitution
76'
J. Mendez ↔ J. Alcivar Substitution
↔
76'
E. Pata ↔ E. Quintero Substitution
↔
85'
José Luis Quiñones yellow card
88'
↔
R. Ibarra ↔ F. Carabali Substitution
90'
1 - 4
M. Perello normal goal
⚽

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 77.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 77.2%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 65.7%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS Yes
Confidence 71.2%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Draw / Away
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 1-2
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 51% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

41 matches analysed
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC Home
VS
Independiente del Valle Away
Independiente del Valle
🎟️ 17 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 1.29 Avg Goals
🎟️ 24 Matches Played
🏆 17 Wins
🎯 2 Avg Goals
17
Matches Played
24
5
Wins
17
6
Draws
2
6
Losses
5
22
Goals For
48
23
Goals Against
26
1.29
Avg Goals Scored
2
1.35
Avg Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
14
6
Clean Sheets
9
4
Failed To Score
4

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.29
Average Goals Scored
2
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
14
3.71
Shots on Goal
6.39

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Independiente del Valle
Defensive Edge Independiente del Valle
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 29%
Away Win Rate 71%

Independiente del Valle show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC

Match Statistics

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
2
🎯 Shots on Goal
10
10
✕ Shots off Goal
9
3
🛡️ Blocked Shots
3
6
🚩 Corner Kicks
6
8
🦶 Fouls
9
49%
◐ Ball Possession
51%
15
⚽ Total Shots
22
406
↔ Total passes
433
355
✓ Passes accurate
381
2
🟨 Yellow Cards
2
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
01.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
02.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
28.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
3
2
W
H2H: Mushuc Runa SC vs Independiente del Valle
11.07.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
07.03.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
L
20.09.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
20.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
13.08.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
23.05.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
18.04.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
L
01.11.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
25.08.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
23.05.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
W
07.08.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
H2H at home: Mushuc Runa SC
11.07.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
20.09.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
20.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
06.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
0
W
16.10.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
25.08.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
L
07.08.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
28.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
3
2
W
09.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
20.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
0
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
2
0
W
H2H away: Independiente del Valle
11.07.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
W
20.09.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
20.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
06.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
0
L
16.10.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
W
25.08.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
2
4
W
07.08.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
W
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Lineups 4-4-2 vs 4-1-4-1
Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
Independiente del Valle
25
R. Formento
26
K. Peralta
2
F. Flor
🟨
37
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
🟨
33
J. Hernandez
↓
99
C. Angulo
↓
5
E. Davila
⚽
18
J. Gonzalez
↓
7
T. Minda
30
R. Ibarra
↓
9
R. Carrillo
↓
1
A. Quintana
4
J. Espinoza
🟨
14
M. Carabajal
5
R. Schunke
19
L. Loor
🎯
32
J. Mendez
↓🟨
17
A. Rodriguez
↓
16
R. Briones
↓
10
J. Sornoza
⚽↓
31
E. Pata
🎯↓
99
D. Reasco
⚽ 2
Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Liga Pro Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Independiente del Valle
22 33 55
W W W W W
2
Universidad Catolica
23 19 39
W D W W W
3
Aucas
23 1 38
W L L W L
4
Macara
22 6 35
W W L W W
5
Barcelona SC
22 6 34
L L W D D
6
LDU de Quito
22 4 32
W D L L D
7
Leones del Norte
22 2 31
W D W D W
8
Deportivo Cuenca
22 -6 31
W L L D L
9
Libertad
23 -2 30
W W W L W
10
Guayaquil City FC
22 -4 28
D D W D W
11
Mushuc Runa SC
23 -5 28
W L D W L
12
Orense SC
23 -8 26
L L W L L
13
Tecnico Universitario
23 -9 26
L W L L L
14
Emelec
23 -9 25
L L D L W
15
Delfin SC
22 -8 23
L L W W L
16
Manta FC
23 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 4 Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC Timeline Independiente del Valle
1st Half 0 - 2
19'
0 - 1
D. Reasco Assist: E. Pata
⚽
35'
0 - 2
J. Sornoza Assist: L. Loor
⚽
44'
José Flor yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 2
49'
0 - 3
D. Reasco Assist: L. Loor
⚽
56'
Jhon Espinoza yellow card
58'
↔
J. Gonzalez ↔ A. Zambrano Substitution
58'
↔
C. Angulo ↔ E. Caicedo Substitution
64'
R. Briones ↔ H. Quintana Substitution
↔
64'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. Perello Substitution
↔
64'
J. Sornoza ↔ D. Guagua Substitution
↔
66'
⚽
E. Davila normal goal
1 - 3
68'
VAR
Nicolás Dávila goal confirmed
74'
Jhegson Méndez yellow card
75'
↔
J. Hernandez ↔ J. Cusme Substitution
76'
↔
R. Carrillo ↔ D. Merino Substitution
76'
J. Mendez ↔ J. Alcivar Substitution
↔
76'
E. Pata ↔ E. Quintero Substitution
↔
85'
José Luis Quiñones yellow card
88'
↔
R. Ibarra ↔ F. Carabali Substitution
90'
1 - 4
M. Perello normal goal
⚽