⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
02 May 2026 14:30
PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA REGULAR SEASON - 32
Moreirense
W D W L W
FT
3 - 2
Estrela
L D L W W
🏟️ Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreira de Conegos
Referee: H. Malheiro

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela
Moreirense Timeline Estrela
1st Half 1 - 2
12'
Caio Secco yellow card
13'
0 - 1
Jovane penalty
25'
Rodrigo Pinho yellow card
31'
Max Scholze yellow card
36'
0 - 2
I. Stoica penalty
40'
Rodrigo Alonso yellow card
44'
VAR
Landerson penalty confirmed
45'
Alanzinho normal goal
1 - 2
2nd Half 2 - 0
46'
M. Stjepanovic ↔ N. John Substitution
46'
A. Assis ↔ Yan Maranhao Substitution
50'
Fabiano Souza yellow card
64'
Rodrigo Pinho ↔ S. van Hooijdonk Substitution
68'
Alanzinho ↔ L. Semedo Substitution
68'
Landerson ↔ Kiko Substitution
70'
B. Langa ↔ J. Encada Substitution
70'
Jovane ↔ K. Jansson Substitution
73'
L. Semedo Assist: Kiko
2 - 2
76'
Fabiano ↔ L. Santos Substitution
77'
Jefferson Encada yellow card
81'
A. Marcus ↔ T. Moustier Substitution
81'
A. Sola ↔ J. Meireles Substitution
90'
Maracas Assist: Rodri
3 - 2
90+4'
Gilberto Batista yellow card
90+4'
Otavio yellow card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
1X2

Home Win

Confidence 84.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 84.2%
View Full Analysis
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 51.3%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
Confidence 68.1%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 40.7% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

62 matches analysed
Moreirense
Moreirense Home
VS
Estrela Away
Estrela
🎟️ 31 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.1 Avg Goals
🎟️ 31 Matches Played
🏆 6 Wins
🎯 1.1 Avg Goals
31
Matches Played
31
11
Wins
6
6
Draws
10
14
Losses
15
34
Goals For
34
45
Goals Against
51
1.1
Avg Goals Scored
1.1
1.45
Avg Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
16
8
Clean Sheets
7
9
Failed To Score
14

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
16
3.19
Shots on Goal
3.65

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Balanced
Defensive Edge Moreirense
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 35%
Away Win Rate 19%

Moreirense show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Moreirense Moreirense

Match Statistics

Estrela Estrela
5
🎯 Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
4
5
🛡️ Blocked Shots
3
1
🚩 Corner Kicks
4
18
🦶 Fouls
18
66%
Ball Possession
34%
14
Total Shots
10
562
Total passes
286
494
Passes accurate
207
4
🟨 Yellow Cards
4
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Moreirense
01.08.26
Fri
Moreirense
Amarante
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
AVS
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
1
2
L
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Guimaraes
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
H2H: Moreirense vs Estrela
02.05.26
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
W
20.12.25
H2H
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
02.03.25
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Estrela
Moreirense
2
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
2
2
D
11.11.23
H2H
Estrela
Moreirense
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Moreirense
2
4
W
31.12.22
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
0
0
D
27.11.22
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
4
2
W
Last matches: Moreirense
01.08.26
Fri
Moreirense
Amarante
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
AVS
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
24.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
0
4
L
29.11.25
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
3
1
W
23.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
2
0
W
10.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
2
1
W
H2H at home: Moreirense
02.05.26
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
W
02.03.25
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
2
2
D
31.12.22
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
0
0
D
27.11.22
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
4
2
W
Last matches: Estrela
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Guimaraes
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Benfica
0
4
L
27.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
3
2
W
15.12.25
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
5
3
W
04.10.25
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
0
0
D
11.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
1
1
D
H2H away: Estrela
02.05.26
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
2
2
D
31.12.22
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
0
0
D
27.11.22
H2H
Moreirense
Estrela
4
2
L
Moreirense
Moreirense 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Estrela 4-2-3-1
Estrela
22
Caio
🟨
70
Fabiano
🟨
66
G. Batista
🟨
26
Maracas
2
Travassos
25
A. Assis
21
Rodri
🎯🟨
10
Kiko Bondoso
8
M. Stjepanovic
78
Landerson
11
Alanzinho
40
R. Ribeiro
21
M. Scholze
🟨
30
Luan Patrick
83
Otavio
🟨
24
B. Langa
19
P. Moreira
63
A. Sola
99
A. Marcus
11
Jovane
10
I. Stoica
9
Rodrigo Pinho
🟨
Moreirense Estrela ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
FC Porto
34 48 88
W L W W W
2
Sporting CP
34 65 82
W W W D D
3
Benfica
34 49 80
W D D W W
4
SC Braga
34 28 59
D D D L W
5
Famalicao
34 13 56
W D D W D
6
GIL Vicente
34 9 50
L L D W L
7
Moreirense
34 -12 43
D L W L W
8
Arouca
34 -17 42
W W D L W
9
Guimaraes
34 -12 42
L L L W W
10
Estoril
34 -3 39
L D D L L
11
Alverca
34 -17 39
L D L W L
12
Rio Ave
34 -22 36
D L D L D
13
Santa Clara
34 -9 36
L W D W D
14
Nacional
34 -8 34
W L L W W
15
Estrela
34 -18 30
D D L L L
16
Casa Pia
34 -26 30
D W L L L
17
Tondela
34 -28 28
L W W D L
18
AVS
34 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Moreirense 3 - 2 Estrela
Moreirense Timeline Estrela
1st Half 1 - 2
12'
Caio Secco yellow card
13'
0 - 1
Jovane penalty
25'
Rodrigo Pinho yellow card
31'
Max Scholze yellow card
36'
0 - 2
I. Stoica penalty
40'
Rodrigo Alonso yellow card
44'
VAR
Landerson penalty confirmed
45'
Alanzinho normal goal
1 - 2
2nd Half 2 - 0
46'
M. Stjepanovic ↔ N. John Substitution
46'
A. Assis ↔ Yan Maranhao Substitution
50'
Fabiano Souza yellow card
64'
Rodrigo Pinho ↔ S. van Hooijdonk Substitution
68'
Alanzinho ↔ L. Semedo Substitution
68'
Landerson ↔ Kiko Substitution
70'
B. Langa ↔ J. Encada Substitution
70'
Jovane ↔ K. Jansson Substitution
73'
L. Semedo Assist: Kiko
2 - 2
76'
Fabiano ↔ L. Santos Substitution
77'
Jefferson Encada yellow card
81'
A. Marcus ↔ T. Moustier Substitution
81'
A. Sola ↔ J. Meireles Substitution
90'
Maracas Assist: Rodri
3 - 2
90+4'
Gilberto Batista yellow card
90+4'
Otavio yellow card