⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
25 Apr 2026 11:30
ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP • REGULAR SEASON - 45
Middlesbrough
W D W L W
FT
5 - 1
Watford
L D L W W
🏟️ Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough
Referee: A. Herczeg

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford
Middlesbrough Timeline Watford
1st Half 2 - 0
6'
⚽
M. Whittaker normal goal
1 - 0
45'
⚽
D. Strelec Assist: M. Whittaker
2 - 0
2nd Half 3 - 1
46'
↔
A. Bangura ↔ M. Targett Substitution
48'
2 - 1
J. Abankwah Assist: K. Keben
⚽
58'
⚽
M. Whittaker normal goal
3 - 1
62'
E. Bove ↔ M. Doumbia Substitution
↔
62'
J. Ngakia ↔ O. Maamma Substitution
↔
63'
↔
M. Whittaker ↔ T. Conway Substitution
63'
N. Mendy ↔ J. Grieves Substitution
↔
63'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ N. Irankunda Substitution
↔
64'
↔
A. Malanda ↔ D. Fry Substitution
64'
↔
S. Hansen ↔ L. Castledine Substitution
74'
James Abankwah yellow card
75'
⚽
T. Conway penalty
4 - 1
82'
M. Bola ↔ T. Ince Substitution
↔
83'
↔
J. Sarmiento ↔ S. Silvera Substitution
85'
Aidan Morris yellow card
85'
Imrân Louza yellow card
90'
⚽
T. Conway Assist: D. Strelec
5 - 1

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 71.1% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 71.1%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 60.7%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 65%
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 65.6% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

90 matches analysed
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Home
VS
Watford Away
Watford
🎟️ 45 Matches Played
🏆 21 Wins
🎯 1.47 Avg Goals
🎟️ 45 Matches Played
🏆 14 Wins
🎯 1.18 Avg Goals
45
Matches Played
45
21
Wins
14
13
Draws
15
11
Losses
16
66
Goals For
53
47
Goals Against
61
1.47
Avg Goals Scored
1.18
1.04
Avg Goals Conceded
1.36
25
BTTS Yes
27
24
Over 2.5
21
13
Clean Sheets
7
11
Failed To Score
13

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
25
BTTS Yes
27
24
Over 2.5
21
4.87
Shots on Goal
4.4

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Middlesbrough
Defensive Edge Middlesbrough
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 47%
Away Win Rate 31%

Middlesbrough show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

Match Statistics

Watford Watford
9
🎯 Shots on Goal
3
5
✕ Shots off Goal
6
6
🛡️ Blocked Shots
3
6
🚩 Corner Kicks
3
8
🦶 Fouls
10
56%
◐ Ball Possession
44%
20
⚽ Total Shots
12
543
↔ Total passes
437
482
✓ Passes accurate
370
1
🟨 Yellow Cards
2
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
H2H: Middlesbrough vs Watford
25.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
04.05.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
3
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
3
W
28.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
2
0
W
30.08.22
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
05.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
11.09.20
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
14.01.17
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
16.10.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
L
06.04.15
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
25.10.14
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
15.02.14
H2H
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
25.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
L
04.05.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
3
1
W
28.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
2
0
W
05.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
16.10.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
L
25.10.14
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
25.04.26
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
W
04.05.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
3
1
L
28.01.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
2
0
L
05.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
16.10.16
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
1
W
25.10.14
H2H
Middlesbrough
Watford
1
1
D
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 3-5-2
Watford 3-5-2
Watford
31
S. Brynn
2
C. Brittain
12
L. Ayling
29
A. Malanda
↓
24
A. Bangura
↓
14
A. Gilbert
18
A. Morris
🟨
11
M. Whittaker
⚽ 2🎯↓
45
J. Sarmiento
↓
27
S. Hansen
↓
13
D. Strelec
⚽🎯
1
E. Selvik
25
J. Abankwah
⚽🟨
6
M. Pollock
4
K. Keben
🎯
2
J. Ngakia
↓
23
N. Mendy
↓
10
I. Louza
🟨
39
E. Kayembe
16
M. Bola
↓
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓
15
E. Bove
↓
Middlesbrough Watford ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Championship Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford
Middlesbrough Timeline Watford
1st Half 2 - 0
6'
⚽
M. Whittaker normal goal
1 - 0
45'
⚽
D. Strelec Assist: M. Whittaker
2 - 0
2nd Half 3 - 1
46'
↔
A. Bangura ↔ M. Targett Substitution
48'
2 - 1
J. Abankwah Assist: K. Keben
⚽
58'
⚽
M. Whittaker normal goal
3 - 1
62'
E. Bove ↔ M. Doumbia Substitution
↔
62'
J. Ngakia ↔ O. Maamma Substitution
↔
63'
↔
M. Whittaker ↔ T. Conway Substitution
63'
N. Mendy ↔ J. Grieves Substitution
↔
63'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ N. Irankunda Substitution
↔
64'
↔
A. Malanda ↔ D. Fry Substitution
64'
↔
S. Hansen ↔ L. Castledine Substitution
74'
James Abankwah yellow card
75'
⚽
T. Conway penalty
4 - 1
82'
M. Bola ↔ T. Ince Substitution
↔
83'
↔
J. Sarmiento ↔ S. Silvera Substitution
85'
Aidan Morris yellow card
85'
Imrân Louza yellow card
90'
⚽
T. Conway Assist: D. Strelec
5 - 1

Missing Players

Middlesbrough 4 missing
-
H. Hackney
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
A. Jones
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
D. Lenihan
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
R. McGree
Questionable Injury
OUT
Watford 3 missing
-
J. Grieves
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
H. Kyprianou
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
R. Vata
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT