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🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
23 Apr 2026 01:00
MEXICO › LIGA MX • CLAUSURA - 16
Mazatlán
W D W L W
FT
4 - 3
Toluca
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio El Encanto
Mazatlan
Referee: M. Ortiz

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Mazatlán 4 - 3 Toluca
Mazatlán Timeline Toluca
1st Half 0 - 1
12'
Alexis Vega yellow card
15'
Lucas Merolla yellow card
23'
Jair Díaz yellow card
26'
Everardo López yellow card
45'
0 - 1
E. del Villar Assist: F. Arce
⚽
2nd Half 4 - 2
46'
J. Diaz ↔ J. Angulo Substitution
↔
49'
⚽
B. Rubio Assist: F. Almada
1 - 1
54'
1 - 2
A. Briseno Assist: A. Vega
⚽
56'
F. Rossi ↔ Bruno Mendez Substitution
↔
59'
Marcel Ruíz card upgrade
VAR
60'
Marcel Ruíz red card
64'
VAR
Facundo Almada penalty confirmed
69'
⚽
Y. Barcenas penalty
2 - 2
72'
↔
S. Godinez ↔ Fabio Gomes Substitution
72'
↔
J. Diaz ↔ G. Lopez Substitution
72'
↔
M. Zaleta ↔ M. Lainez Substitution
75'
⚽
G. Lopez Assist: Dudu
3 - 2
81'
M. Isais ↔ N. Castro Substitution
↔
81'
A. Vega ↔ O. Virgen Substitution
↔
86'
↔
J. Ovalle ↔ D. Hernandez Substitution
87'
↔
B. Rubio ↔ B. Arce Substitution
87'
3 - 3
N. Castro Assist: J. Angulo
⚽
88'
⚽
D. Hernandez Assist: Fabio Gomes
4 - 3
90+5'
Gabriel Lopez yellow card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
BTTS

BTTS Yes

Confidence 78.4% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 78.4%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 52.2%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 69.6%
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "BTTS Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 66.7% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

70 matches analysed
Mazatlán
Mazatlán Home
VS
Toluca Away
Toluca
🎟️ 32 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 1.16 Avg Goals
🎟️ 38 Matches Played
🏆 21 Wins
🎯 1.87 Avg Goals
32
Matches Played
38
5
Wins
21
11
Draws
11
16
Losses
6
37
Goals For
71
58
Goals Against
35
1.16
Avg Goals Scored
1.87
1.81
Avg Goals Conceded
0.92
24
BTTS Yes
21
19
Over 2.5
19
2
Clean Sheets
13
7
Failed To Score
9

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
24
BTTS Yes
21
19
Over 2.5
19
3.53
Shots on Goal
5.68

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Toluca
Defensive Edge Toluca
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 16%
Away Win Rate 55%

Toluca show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Mazatlán Mazatlán

Match Statistics

Toluca Toluca
6
🎯 Shots on Goal
8
7
✕ Shots off Goal
1
3
🛡️ Blocked Shots
4
3
🚩 Corner Kicks
8
12
🦶 Fouls
18
41%
◐ Ball Possession
59%
16
⚽ Total Shots
13
328
↔ Total passes
465
271
✓ Passes accurate
393
3
🟨 Yellow Cards
2
0
🟥 Red Cards
1
Last matches: Mazatlán
25.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
16.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Leon
4
2
W
04.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Atletico San Luis
1
4
L
28.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Monterrey
1
5
L
13.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Puebla
1
2
L
10.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
FC Juarez
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
25.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
2
2
D
22.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
H2H: Mazatlán vs Toluca
23.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
28.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
05.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
3
L
18.07.24
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
0
L
20.01.24
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
4
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
4
1
L
17.09.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
2
L
17.08.21
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
2
2
D
07.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Mazatlán
4
1
L
08.08.20
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
Last matches: Mazatlán
18.04.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Leon
4
2
W
28.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
Monterrey
1
5
L
10.01.26
Lig
Mazatlán
FC Juarez
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Necaxa
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club America
2
2
D
22.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Santos Laguna
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
20.09.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
Mazatlán
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
4
L
24.08.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
2
2
D
10.08.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
2
2
D
19.07.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Puebla
2
1
W
17.04.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
12.04.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
29.03.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Atlas
3
2
W
01.03.25
Lig
Mazatlán
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mazatlán
23.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
W
25.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
05.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
3
L
11.11.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
2
L
08.08.20
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
23.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
23.04.26
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
4
3
L
25.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
L
05.01.25
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
3
W
11.11.23
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
1
D
22.01.22
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
1
2
W
08.08.20
H2H
Mazatlán
Toluca
2
1
L
Mazatlán
Mazatlán 5-4-1
Lineups 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Toluca
33
R. Rodriguez
21
S. Santos
5
F. Almada
🎯
19
L. Merolla
🟨
4
J. Diaz
↓🟨
14
M. Zaleta
↓
7
Dudu
🎯
11
Y. Barcenas
⚽
25
S. Godinez
↓
17
J. Ovalle
↓
15
B. Rubio
⚽↓
1
H. Gonzalez
2
D. Barbosa
3
A. Briseno
⚽
25
E. del Villar
⚽🟨
17
M. Isais
↓
24
F. Arce
🎯
14
M. Ruiz
🟥
15
P. Perez
29
J. Diaz
↓
9
A. Vega
🎯↓🟨
27
F. Rossi
↓
Mazatlán Toluca ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Liga MX, Clausura 2026 Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca
17 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey
17 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Mazatlán 4 - 3 Toluca
Mazatlán Timeline Toluca
1st Half 0 - 1
12'
Alexis Vega yellow card
15'
Lucas Merolla yellow card
23'
Jair Díaz yellow card
26'
Everardo López yellow card
45'
0 - 1
E. del Villar Assist: F. Arce
⚽
2nd Half 4 - 2
46'
J. Diaz ↔ J. Angulo Substitution
↔
49'
⚽
B. Rubio Assist: F. Almada
1 - 1
54'
1 - 2
A. Briseno Assist: A. Vega
⚽
56'
F. Rossi ↔ Bruno Mendez Substitution
↔
59'
Marcel Ruíz card upgrade
VAR
60'
Marcel Ruíz red card
64'
VAR
Facundo Almada penalty confirmed
69'
⚽
Y. Barcenas penalty
2 - 2
72'
↔
S. Godinez ↔ Fabio Gomes Substitution
72'
↔
J. Diaz ↔ G. Lopez Substitution
72'
↔
M. Zaleta ↔ M. Lainez Substitution
75'
⚽
G. Lopez Assist: Dudu
3 - 2
81'
M. Isais ↔ N. Castro Substitution
↔
81'
A. Vega ↔ O. Virgen Substitution
↔
86'
↔
J. Ovalle ↔ D. Hernandez Substitution
87'
↔
B. Rubio ↔ B. Arce Substitution
87'
3 - 3
N. Castro Assist: J. Angulo
⚽
88'
⚽
D. Hernandez Assist: Fabio Gomes
4 - 3
90+5'
Gabriel Lopez yellow card