⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
03 Oct 2026 14:00
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN • CLAUSURA - 9
Liverpool Montevideo
W D W L W
FT
3 - 2
Progreso
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Belvedere
Referee: A. M. Matonte Cabrera

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Liverpool Montevideo 3 - 2 Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo Timeline Progreso
1st Half 1 - 0
10'
Lucas acosta yellow card
18'
Emiliano Alvarez yellow card
34'
Kevin Lewis yellow card
36'
Marco Antonio Saravia yellow card
38'
⚽
S. Milano normal goal
1 - 0
45+1'
Gianfranco trasante yellow card
2nd Half 2 - 2
46'
M. Saravia ↔ H. Carroso Substitution
↔
46'
G. Trasante ↔ N. Acosta Substitution
↔
48'
1 - 1
N. Lopez normal goal
⚽
52'
↔
L. Acosta ↔ D. Romero Substitution
63'
↔
K. Lewis ↔ D. Zabala Substitution
63'
↔
F. Martinez ↔ R. M. Degregorio Substitution
68'
VAR
Rubén Bentancourt VAR
68'
↔
R. Haller ↔ J. Pintos Substitution
68'
↔
T. Brizuela ↔ F. Barcelo Substitution
71'
Ramiro Matias Degregorio yellow card
74'
M. Juambeltz ↔ M. Copelotti Substitution
↔
77'
nahuel lopez yellow card
79'
Rubén Bentancourt yellow card
82'
⚽
D. Zabala normal goal
2 - 1
84'
A. Cougo ↔ G. Silva Substitution
↔
88'
⚽
D. Zabala normal goal
3 - 1
90'
3 - 2
G. Silva normal goal
⚽

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
1X2

Home Win

Confidence 69.4% Medium Confidence
Odds 1.65
Value +12%
Win Probability 69.4%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS Yes
Confidence 62.8%
Odds 1.83
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 62.1%
Odds 1.90
🚩
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds 8.50

Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 47.7% Low
Best Odds 8.50 Fair Odds
Value Edge +12% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

68 matches analysed
Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Home
VS
Progreso Away
Progreso
🎟️ 35 Matches Played
🏆 14 Wins
🎯 1.29 Avg Goals
🎟️ 33 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 0.79 Avg Goals
35
Matches Played
33
14
Wins
8
11
Draws
4
10
Losses
21
45
Goals For
26
31
Goals Against
48
1.29
Avg Goals Scored
0.79
0.89
Avg Goals Conceded
1.45
14
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
17
Clean Sheets
4
10
Failed To Score
15

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
14
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
14
1
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Liverpool Montevideo
Defensive Edge Liverpool Montevideo
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 40%
Away Win Rate 24%

Liverpool Montevideo show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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