⚙️
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🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
03 May 2026 13:30
GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 32
FC St. Pauli
W D W L W
FT
1 - 2
FSV Mainz 05
L D L W W
🏟️ Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburg
Referee: Timo Gerach, Germany

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

FC St. Pauli 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli Timeline FSV Mainz 05
1st Half 0 - 2
6'
0 - 1
P. Tietz Assist: S. Becker
⚽
40'
0 - 2
P. Mwene Assist: S. Widmer
⚽
2nd Half 1 - 0
46'
↔
L. Ritzka ↔ A. Dzwigala Substitution
46'
↔
D. Sinani ↔ C. Metcalfe Substitution
65'
↔
A. Hountondji ↔ M. Kaars Substitution
65'
↔
E. Smith ↔ A. Ceesay Substitution
68'
Daniel Batz yellow card
72'
S. Becker ↔ A. Sieb Substitution
↔
76'
K. Potulski ↔ D. Kohr Substitution
↔
77'
S. Widmer ↔ A. Caci Substitution
↔
84'
↔
J. Irvine ↔ M. Rasmussen Substitution
84'
N. Amiri ↔ L. Maloney Substitution
↔
84'
P. Tietz ↔ N. Weiper Substitution
↔
87'
⚽
A. Ceesay Assist: M. Kaars
1 - 2
88'
Karol Mets yellow card
90+1'
Connor Metcalfe yellow card
90+4'
Abdoulie Ceesay yellow card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
1X2

Away Win

Confidence 68.4% Medium Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 68.4%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 30.6%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 36.9%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Draw / Away
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 0-1
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Away Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 38% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

74 matches analysed
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli Home
VS
FSV Mainz 05 Away
FSV Mainz 05
🎟️ 31 Matches Played
🏆 6 Wins
🎯 0.84 Avg Goals
🎟️ 43 Matches Played
🏆 15 Wins
🎯 1.28 Avg Goals
31
Matches Played
43
6
Wins
15
8
Draws
12
17
Losses
16
26
Goals For
55
53
Goals Against
59
0.84
Avg Goals Scored
1.28
1.71
Avg Goals Conceded
1.37
16
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
20
5
Clean Sheets
9
13
Failed To Score
13

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.84
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
16
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
20
3.42
Shots on Goal
3.98

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge FSV Mainz 05
Defensive Edge FSV Mainz 05
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 19%
Away Win Rate 35%

FSV Mainz 05 show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli

Match Statistics

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
3
🎯 Shots on Goal
6
5
✕ Shots off Goal
4
2
🛡️ Blocked Shots
7
7
🚩 Corner Kicks
7
10
🦶 Fouls
8
52%
◐ Ball Possession
48%
10
⚽ Total Shots
17
494
↔ Total passes
465
413
✓ Passes accurate
379
3
🟨 Yellow Cards
1
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
01.08.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Bournemouth
1
4
L
19.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03
4
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Kickers Emden
3
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Altona 93
6
2
W
16.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
25.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0
5
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
22.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
07.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
08.08.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Paris FC
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Udinese
3
3
D
31.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Holstein Kiel
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Eisbachtal
10
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Pfeddersheim
11
0
W
16.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
3
L
25.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
12.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
2
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
22.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
07.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
2
2
D
H2H: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
03.05.26
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
21.12.25
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
0
0
D
22.02.25
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
L
14.05.11
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
L
18.12.10
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
2
4
L
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
01.08.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
16.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
17.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0
5
L
22.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
0
D
22.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
07.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
27.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
23.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
0
0
D
04.01.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0
0
D
13.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
23.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
0
1
L
01.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
4
L
19.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
27.09.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
14.09.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
23.08.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
3
3
D
H2H at home: FC St. Pauli
03.05.26
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
05.10.24
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
L
18.12.10
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
2
4
L
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
01.08.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Udinese
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Eisbachtal
10
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
FSV Mainz 05
Pfeddersheim
11
0
W
16.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
19.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
13.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
31.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
1
W
17.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
30.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
4
L
27.11.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
09.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
26.10.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
1
2
L
H2H away: FSV Mainz 05
03.05.26
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
W
05.10.24
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
3
W
18.12.10
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
2
4
W
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
Lineups 3-4-2-1 vs 3-5-2
FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
FSV Mainz 05
22
N. Vasilj
15
T. Ando
5
H. Wahl
3
K. Mets
🟨
11
A. Pyrka
7
J. Irvine
↓
8
E. Smith
↓
21
L. Ritzka
↓
10
D. Sinani
↓
16
J. Fujita
27
A. Hountondji
↓
33
D. Batz
🟨
21
D. da Costa
4
S. Posch
48
K. Potulski
↓
30
S. Widmer
🎯↓
8
P. Nebel
6
K. Sano
10
N. Amiri
↓
2
P. Mwene
⚽
23
S. Becker
🎯↓
20
P. Tietz
⚽↓
FC St. Pauli FSV Mainz 05 ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

FC St. Pauli 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli Timeline FSV Mainz 05
1st Half 0 - 2
6'
0 - 1
P. Tietz Assist: S. Becker
⚽
40'
0 - 2
P. Mwene Assist: S. Widmer
⚽
2nd Half 1 - 0
46'
↔
L. Ritzka ↔ A. Dzwigala Substitution
46'
↔
D. Sinani ↔ C. Metcalfe Substitution
65'
↔
A. Hountondji ↔ M. Kaars Substitution
65'
↔
E. Smith ↔ A. Ceesay Substitution
68'
Daniel Batz yellow card
72'
S. Becker ↔ A. Sieb Substitution
↔
76'
K. Potulski ↔ D. Kohr Substitution
↔
77'
S. Widmer ↔ A. Caci Substitution
↔
84'
↔
J. Irvine ↔ M. Rasmussen Substitution
84'
N. Amiri ↔ L. Maloney Substitution
↔
84'
P. Tietz ↔ N. Weiper Substitution
↔
87'
⚽
A. Ceesay Assist: M. Kaars
1 - 2
88'
Karol Mets yellow card
90+1'
Connor Metcalfe yellow card
90+4'
Abdoulie Ceesay yellow card

Missing Players

FC St. Pauli 3 missing
-
R. Jones
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Pereira Lage
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Sands
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
FSV Mainz 05 5 missing
-
M. Dal
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Hollerbach
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Lee Jae-Sung
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
M. Leitsch
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Silas
Missing Fixture Broken shinbone
OUT