⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
11 Oct 2026 14:45
NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE • REGULAR SEASON - 8
Excelsior
W D W L W
FT
1 - 5
Groningen
L D L W W
🏟️ Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Referee: Richard Martens

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen
Excelsior Timeline Groningen
1st Half 1 - 2
7'
0 - 1
Marco Rente normal goal
⚽
20'
David van der Werff yellow card
36'
⚽
Irakli Yegoian penalty
1 - 1
38'
1 - 2
Stijn van Gassel own goal
⚽
2nd Half 0 - 3
59'
Jorg Schreuders penalty confirmed
VAR
64'
1 - 3
Thom Van Bergen penalty
⚽
65'
↔
Simon Janssen ↔ Kasey Bos Substitution
65'
↔
David Garden ↔ Mario Domínguez Franco Substitution
65'
↔
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson ↔ Daniel van Vianen Substitution
65'
↔
Eric da Silva Moreira ↔ Valentin Sulzbacher Substitution
66'
Jacob Ondrejka ↔ Tygo Land Substitution
↔
67'
1 - 4
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson Assist: Pelle Clement
⚽
72'
Hans Hateboer ↔ Mark Csinger Substitution
↔
80'
Tygo Land yellow card
81'
↔
Aymen sliti ↔ Alireza Jahanbakhsh Substitution
84'
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson ↔ Nils Eggens Substitution
↔
85'
Thom Van Bergen ↔ Ryan Metu Substitution
↔
85'
David van der Werff ↔ Oskar Zawada Substitution
↔
90+5'
1 - 5
Marco Rente normal goal
⚽

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 87% High Confidence
Odds 1.53
Value +17%
Win Probability 87%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home or Draw
Confidence 70.8%
Odds 1.50
🥅
BTTS Yes
Confidence 86%
Odds 1.50
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds 10.00

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 56% Medium
Best Odds 10.00 Fair Odds
Value Edge +17% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

26 matches analysed
Excelsior
Excelsior Home
VS
Groningen Away
Groningen
🎟️ 12 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 2.75 Avg Goals
🎟️ 14 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 1.5 Avg Goals
12
Matches Played
14
8
Wins
5
2
Draws
3
2
Losses
6
33
Goals For
21
16
Goals Against
27
2.75
Avg Goals Scored
1.5
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.93
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
3
Clean Sheets
3
0
Failed To Score
3

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

2.75
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
4.71
Shots on Goal
5.43

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Excelsior
Defensive Edge Excelsior
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 67%
Away Win Rate 36%

Excelsior show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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