All Markets
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Correct Score
Over 0.5 Goals
11 Oct 2025
18:45
WORLD
›
WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
•
GROUP STAGE - 7
Match Events
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.
Estonia
1 - 3
Italy
Estonia
Timeline
Italy
1st Half
0 - 2
4'
0 - 1
M. Kean
Assist: F. Dimarco
12'
Nicolò Barella
yellow card
15'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Substitution
29'
Märten Kuusk
yellow card
38'
0 - 2
M. Retegui
Assist: R. Orsolini
41'
Kevor Palumets
yellow card
2nd Half
1 - 1
46'
K. Palumets ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Substitution
46'
J. Saliste ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Substitution
59'
Rasmus Peetson
yellow card
62'
A. Tamm ↔ R. Sappinen
Substitution
62'
M. Kuusk ↔ K. Mets
Substitution
62'
G. Raspadori ↔ L. Spinazzola
Substitution
62'
R. Orsolini ↔ A. Cambiaso
Substitution
72'
Alessandro Bastoni
yellow card
74'
0 - 3
F. Esposito
Assist: L. Spinazzola
76'
R. Sappinen
normal goal
1 - 3
78'
M. Retegui ↔ B. Cristante
Substitution
78'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Substitution
83'
R. R. Shein ↔ K. Mustmaa
Substitution
84'
Andrea Cambiaso
yellow card
87'
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
yellow card
All Predictions Markets
Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.
No predictions available for this match.
Insight Summary
No strong prediction signal is available for this match yet.
Confidence
0%
Low
Best Odds
-
Fair Odds
Value Edge
+0%
Expected Value
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estonia
Home
VS
Italy
Away
🎟️
11
Matches Played
🏆
2
Wins
🎯
0.73
Avg Goals
🎟️
12
Matches Played
🏆
7
Wins
🎯
2.42
Avg Goals
11
Matches Played
12
2
Wins
7
1
Draws
2
8
Losses
3
8
Goals For
29
22
Goals Against
20
0.73
Avg Goals Scored
2.42
2
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
1
Clean Sheets
3
7
Failed To Score
1
Key Stats
Quick comparison based on available match data
0.73
Average Goals Scored
2.42
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
3.2
Shots on Goal
7
Trend Signals
Derived from season data
Attack Edge
Italy
Defensive Edge
Italy
BTTS Signal
Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend
Lower-scoring trend
Quick Verdict
Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate
18%
Away Win Rate
58%
Italy show the stronger season trend before kickoff.
Estonia
Match Statistics
Italy
1
🎯
Shots on Goal
9
1
✕
Shots off Goal
8
0
🛡️
Blocked Shots
7
0
🚩
Corner Kicks
8
22
🦶
Fouls
9
36%
◐
Ball Possession
64%
2
⚽
Total Shots
24
325
↔
Total passes
579
247
✓
Passes accurate
507
4
🟨
Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥
Red Cards
0
Last matches: Estonia
13.11.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
05.09.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
0
5
L
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
25.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
3
2
W
22.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
16.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H: Estonia vs Italy
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
05.09.25
H2H
Italy
Estonia
5
0
L
11.11.20
H2H
Italy
Estonia
4
0
L
Last matches: Estonia
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Estonia
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H away: Italy
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
W
Italy
3-4-2-1
Lineups
3-4-2-1 vs 4-5-1
Estonia
4-5-1
estimated
1
G. Donnarumma
22
G. Di Lorenzo
21
A. Bastoni
🟨
13
R. Calafiori
7
R. Orsolini
🎯↓
18
N. Barella
↓🟨
8
S. Tonali
3
F. Dimarco
🎯
11
M. Kean
⚽↓
10
G. Raspadori
↓
9
M. Retegui
⚽↓
1
K. Hein
6
R. Peetson
🟨
13
M. Paskotsi
2
M. Kuusk
↓🟨
3
J. Saliste
↓
10
K. Palumets
↓🟨
8
M. Soomets
4
M. Kait
5
R. R. Shein
↓
7
R. Saarma
21
A. Tamm
↓
Italy
Estonia
⚽ Goal
🎯 Assist
🟨 Yellow
🟥 Red
↑ In
↓ Out
Group I Standings
| # | Team | MP | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norway
|
8 | 32 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Italy
|
8 | 9 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 |
Israel
|
8 | -1 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 4 |
Estonia
|
8 | -13 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 |
Moldova
|
8 | -27 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)
Match Events
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.
Estonia
1 - 3
Italy
Estonia
Timeline
Italy
1st Half
0 - 2
4'
0 - 1
M. Kean
Assist: F. Dimarco
12'
Nicolò Barella
yellow card
15'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Substitution
29'
Märten Kuusk
yellow card
38'
0 - 2
M. Retegui
Assist: R. Orsolini
41'
Kevor Palumets
yellow card
2nd Half
1 - 1
46'
K. Palumets ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Substitution
46'
J. Saliste ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Substitution
59'
Rasmus Peetson
yellow card
62'
A. Tamm ↔ R. Sappinen
Substitution
62'
M. Kuusk ↔ K. Mets
Substitution
62'
G. Raspadori ↔ L. Spinazzola
Substitution
62'
R. Orsolini ↔ A. Cambiaso
Substitution
72'
Alessandro Bastoni
yellow card
74'
0 - 3
F. Esposito
Assist: L. Spinazzola
76'
R. Sappinen
normal goal
1 - 3
78'
M. Retegui ↔ B. Cristante
Substitution
78'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Substitution
83'
R. R. Shein ↔ K. Mustmaa
Substitution
84'
Andrea Cambiaso
yellow card
87'
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
yellow card